That is dedicated to people which purchase individual stocks. I has shared with you the strategy I have tried personally in the past to pick out stocks i are finding to be consistently profitable in actual trading. I love to utilize a combination of fundamental and technical analysis for selecting stocks. My experience has shown that successful stock selection involves two steps:
1. Select a standard while using fundamental analysis presented then
2. Confirm that the stock is surely an uptrend as indicated by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Line (EMA) being above the 100-Day EMA
This two-step process boosts the odds that the stock you decide on will be profitable. It even offers a signal to offer stock which has not performed as expected if it’s 50-Day EMA drops below its 100-Day EMA. It is also a useful means for selecting stocks for covered call writing, a different sort of strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis may be the study of economic data such as earnings, dividends and cash flow, which influence the pricing of securities. I use fundamental analysis to help you select securities for future price appreciation. Over many years I have tried personally many means of measuring a company’s rate of growth to try to predict its stock’s future price performance. I manipulate methods such as earnings growth and return on equity. I are finding that these methods are not always reliable or predictive.
Earning Growth
For instance, corporate net profits are be subject to vague bookkeeping practices such as depreciation, cashflow, inventory adjustment and reserves. These are typical be subject to interpretation by accountants. Today more than ever, corporations they are under increasing pressure to get over analyst’s earnings estimates which leads to more aggressive accounting interpretations. Some corporations take special “one time” write-offs on their own balance sheet for things such as failed mergers or acquisitions, restructuring, unprofitable divisions, failed product, etc. Many times these write-offs are not reflected as being a continue earnings growth but rather show up as being a footnote on the financial report. These “one time” write-offs occur with additional frequency than you could possibly expect. Many businesses that from the Dow Jones Industrial Average have got such write-offs.
Return on Equity
One other indicator, which I have found isn’t necessarily predictive of stock price appreciation, is return on equity (ROE). Conventional wisdom correlates a higher return on equity with successful corporate management that is maximizing shareholder value (the higher the ROE better).
Which company is a lot more successful?
Coca-Cola (KO) having a Return on Equity of 46% or
Merrill Lynch (MER) having a Return on Equity of 18%
The answer is Merrill Lynch by measure. But Coca-Cola carries a greater ROE. How is possible?
Return on equity is calculated by dividing a company’s net profit by stockholder’s equity. Coca-Cola is indeed over valued the reason is stockholder’s equity is just equal to about 5% of the total monatary amount of the company. The stockholder equity is indeed small that almost anywhere of net profit will produce a favorable ROE.
Merrill Lynch however, has stockholder’s equity equal to 42% of the monatary amount of the company and requires a much higher net profit figure to generate a comparable ROE. My point is that ROE does not compare apples to apples therefore is very little good relative indicator in comparing company performance.
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